- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?100¢100%
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 4?0¢0%
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on September 4?0¢0%
Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Chengdu on September 4 due to real-time observations and short-range model consensus from stations like Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, where afternoon temperatures under mostly clear skies and light variable winds have tracked toward that exact peak. Late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin, including moderate humidity and minimal cloud cover during peak insolation hours, support this outcome, aligning with typical early-September baselines near 30–34°C. Official measurements through sunset will confirm resolution, with only minor forecast revisions or localized station variations potentially altering the final reading.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.