- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 2?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 2?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 2?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 2?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 2?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 2?35¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 2?24¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Chengdu on September 2, with light winds and low precipitation chances supporting strong daytime solar heating in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance and ensemble runs cluster the daily maximum around 32–34°C, consistent with early-September climatology where highs often reach the low 30s under similar synoptic setups. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 34°C (35%), 33°C (24.5%), and 35°C (23.5%) contracts aligns with this narrow range, while lower or higher outcomes remain discounted absent significant shifts in moisture or cloud cover ahead of resolution. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration.