- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 31?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 31?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 31?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 31?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 31?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 31?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 31?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 31?36¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a maximum of 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 31, driven by clearing skies after recent haze and light precipitation, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer subsidence in the Sichuan Basin that moderates peak heating. These conditions contrast with historical August averages near 34°C and support the market’s clustering around 35–36°C as traders weigh model consensus against potential under-forecasting from urban heat island effects or subtle ridge strengthening. Low precipitation risk and modest humidity further cap intensification, though small shifts in steering flow could push readings toward the upper end of the distribution before resolution.