- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 30?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 30?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 30?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 30?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 30?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 30?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C or higher on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on August 30?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 30?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 30?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 30?5¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and regional forecasters points to partly cloudy skies over Chengdu on August 30, with daytime highs likely reaching 31–33°C after cooler, rain-affected conditions on the 29th. Reduced cloud cover and light northeasterly winds under subtropical high pressure support gradual warming, consistent with late-August climatology where Chengdu averages near 30–33°C. Trader emphasis on 33–34°C outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in peak insolation and urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or sub-32°C align with limited intensification potential before evening cooling. Updated short-range model runs and official observations will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.