- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 29?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 29?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 29?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 29?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 29?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 29?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 29?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 29?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on August 29?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 29?4¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high likelihood of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms over Chengdu on August 29, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and weak steering patterns that limit solar heating. This setup favors daily maximum temperatures clustering around 28–29 °C rather than the higher values seen earlier in the month under clearer conditions. Key variables differentiating outcomes include the timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress afternoon peaks by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any breaks in cloud allowing brief warming. Historical late-August baselines for the Sichuan Basin show similar rainy episodes often capping highs near these levels, with model consensus pointing to modest northerly winds and high humidity that further moderate extremes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and local radar trends will be the next key inputs before resolution.