- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 28?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 28?35¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 28?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 28?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 28?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 28?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 28?19¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, indicate a high near 31–32°C for Chengdu on August 28, 2026, with scattered thunderstorms or array rain expected during the day. This precipitation and associated cloud cover are the dominant factors suppressing daytime heating in the subtropical monsoon climate typical of late summer in the Sichuan Basin. Thunderstorms enhance evaporative cooling and reduce incoming solar radiation, keeping maxima below recent readings of 33–34°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for clearing skies or stronger insolation that could push readings toward 34–35°C, which explains the market's relatively balanced distribution across 32–35°C outcomes. Historical climatology for late August supports a baseline around 30–32°C when rainfall occurs, with lower odds assigned to extremes due to the narrow forecast window and model consensus on moisture. Traders are closely monitoring updated CMA runs and local radar trends ahead of the 24-hour period, as shifts in storm timing or intensity could alter the realized maximum by 1–2°C.