- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on August 27?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 27?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 27?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 27?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 27?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 27?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 27?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 27?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 27?3¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C on August 27 amid cloudy conditions, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate southerly winds, which limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. This follows peak readings near 39°C on August 25 that marked the end of the “fu” period, with post-summer solstice climatology and increasing precipitation probability favoring a downward trend. Market-implied odds clustering around 35–37°C reflect residual uncertainty in localized maxima at official stations, model spread, and the potential for brief clearing to allow slightly higher readings before widespread rain develops. Updated NHC-style guidance and station observations expected overnight will refine these probabilities.