- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 26?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 26?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 26?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 26?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 26?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 26?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 26?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and global models indicate a high of 32–34°C on August 26, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 65–70%, and increased cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum. This late-August timing, just after the end of the “fu” period, aligns with climatological trends of moderating temperatures and rising precipitation chances that often prevent extremes above 35°C. Trader sentiment remains split, with substantial implied probability on 36°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in model spread and the potential for brief clear periods to allow greater warming. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will be key resolution drivers.