- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 23?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 23?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 23?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 23?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 23?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 23?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 23?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 23?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 23?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 23?1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers and light southwesterly winds. These conditions reflect typical late-summer subtropical patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity and frequent afternoon convection often cap peak temperatures even as daytime heating builds. Model consensus shows limited spread, with boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing as the main variables that could allow brief clearing and a push toward 34–35°C or keep readings closer to 31–32°C if showers develop earlier. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, while the market’s tight distribution across 32–35°C reflects trader weighting of ensemble runs and the narrow margin for resolution based on official station readings.