- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 22?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 22?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 22?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 22?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 22?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 22?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 22?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 22?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 22?2¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from global and regional models project Chengdu's peak temperature on August 22 near 31–34°C, with trader consensus reflected in the tight spread among 32–34°C outcomes. Chengdu's Sichuan Basin location promotes heat retention under typical summer high-pressure patterns, while variable monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and scattered afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum. Subtle differences in model timing of any showers or wind shifts distinguish the closely matched probabilities, as even small changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs ahead of the peak heating period will likely refine these near-term expectations.