Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 19?
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or below on August 19?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 19?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 19?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 19?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 19?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 19?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 19?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 19?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 19?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on August 19?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan basin have suppressed daytime heating, positioning 27–28°C as the market's leading implied probabilities at 25.5% and 29.5%. Official China Meteorological Administration observations and short-range model guidance show highs near 25°C on August 17–18 amid moderate to heavy rain, with August 19 forecasts indicating partial clearing but limited solar insolation that caps maxima below the 30–32°C climatological norm. Ensemble spreads from global models highlight sensitivity to exact timing of precipitation cessation and boundary-layer moisture, creating genuine uncertainty between adjacent temperature bins. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will likely refine these near-term probabilities ahead of resolution.