Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 18?
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on August 18?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on August 18?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 18?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 18?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on August 18?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 18?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?40¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 18?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 18?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 18?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and reduced solar insolation over the Sichuan Basin for August 18, limiting daytime heating and positioning the daily maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 24 °C (39.5 %) and 23–25 °C outcomes, reflecting ensemble model consensus on suppressed highs relative to August climatology of 29–32 °C. High humidity and localized rainfall further cap peaks through evaporative cooling, while any clearing could allow brief warming toward 26 °C. Updated model runs and official station data over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.