Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 17?
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or below on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 17?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 17?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 17?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 17?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 17?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 17?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on August 17?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover and showers are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Chengdu on August 17. Summer monsoon moisture and an active weather pattern are forecast to produce overcast skies and thundershowers, which limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping highs well below the seasonal average of ~29–30 °C. Multiple forecast models show close agreement on widespread cloudiness and precipitation timing, producing tight clustering of outcomes around 26–28 °C. Minor differences in predicted cloud optical depth, shower intensity, or brief clearing windows explain the narrow spread between the leading probabilities. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes these conditions, with any late-day clearing or lighter rain the main variable that could push the daily high slightly higher or keep it suppressed. Traders are weighting the high likelihood of continued suppression against the modest chance of partial breaks in the cloud deck.