Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 15?
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 15?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 15?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 15?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on August 15?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 15?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 15?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 15?37¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies place Chengdu's maximum temperature on August 15 near 34–37°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 36°C (36.5%) and 37°C (24%). In the humid subtropical climate of the Sichuan Basin, August represents peak seasonal heat, where high humidity, topographic heat trapping, and limited cloud cover or rainfall can drive daily highs several degrees above the 30–32°C monthly average. Recent model runs show modest variability tied to potential scattered showers or shifts in steering patterns, which explain the spread across 35–37°C brackets. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs against historical August extremes, which occasionally exceed 38°C under stable high-pressure conditions.