- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 6?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 6?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 6?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 6?38¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 6?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 6?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on September 6?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 6?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 6?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C or higher on September 6?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models and the South African Weather Service point to clear, sunny conditions over Cape Town on September 6, with light easterly or southeasterly winds favoring maximum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius and supporting the market's emphasis on 26°C and 27°C. These align with current consensus runs showing afternoon peaks near 25–27°C under dry, stable high-pressure influence typical of early spring, without significant cloud cover or onshore flow to moderate readings. Minor model spreads and local topographic effects introduce uncertainty around the precise daily maximum, but official observations from the Cape Town International Airport station will resolve the outcome. Updated model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts through the evening of September 5 could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.