- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?0¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C on September 3?0¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on September 3?0¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 3?0¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on September 3?0¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on September 3?0¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 3?0¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 3?100¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 3?0¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 3?0¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?0¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong model consensus and real-time observations have driven near-certain trader positioning on a 17°C high for Cape Town on September 3. Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based guidance and local updates, indicate southeasterly winds of 30–40 km/h with gusts exceeding 80 km/h, limited cloud cover, and afternoon temperatures peaking near 17°C after morning lows around 11–13°C. Official monitoring aligns with this range, consistent with typical early-spring conditions under a stable high-pressure influence. Minor model spread exists around exact timing of peak readings, but surface observations and ensemble runs support minimal deviation. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or station-specific measurement variance would realistically alter the recorded maximum.