- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 27?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 27?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 27?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 27?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 27?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 27?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C or higher on August 27?46¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs indicate a transient warm spell driven by northwesterly winds and reduced cloud cover over the Cape Peninsula on August 27, positioning the daily maximum near or above 24–25 °C as the leading market-implied outcome. South African Weather Service and international guidance (including ECMWF and GFS ensembles) show daytime heating under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 13 °C to afternoon peaks supported by downslope flow and drier air masses. Historical August climatology at Cape Town International Airport places average highs near 18 °C, so current anomalies reflect a short-lived departure rather than a persistent pattern. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official maximum readings at the primary station; any increase in low-level stratus or earlier wind shift to cooler southeasterlies could cap readings closer to 22–23 °C. Updated model consensus and SAWS bulletins through the evening of August 26 will determine whether the 45.5 % probability attached to 25 °C or higher holds or shifts.