This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent South African Weather Service and global model guidance points to a post-frontal high-pressure regime over Cape Town on August 15, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal 17–18°C average under partly cloudy skies. Trader clustering around 18–20°C reflects uncertainty in cloud cover and light northerly advection, which can enhance solar insolation or import slightly warmer interior air to add 1–3°C. Key differentiators among the tightly grouped 18–20°C bins include forecast spread in afternoon wind direction, boundary-layer mixing, and residual moisture from the prior cold front, all of which modulate peak temperature by small increments. New model runs and official updates tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.