This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on August 14 clustering near the long-term August average of roughly 18°C because official forecasts from sources like the South African Weather Service and models from AccuWeather and others currently point to a maximum of 17–18°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with moderate northwesterly winds. The narrow gap between the 18°C (39.5%) and 17°C (31%) outcomes reflects typical winter variability driven by the cooling influence of the Benguela Current and Atlantic moisture, which limits daytime warming, while light winds and variable cloud cover determine whether solar heating pushes readings to the higher end of the range. Historical climatology shows daily maxima rarely exceed 20°C or fall below 16°C in mid-August, supporting the low probabilities on the tails, with any final shifts likely hinging on afternoon observations before resolution.