- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 3?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 3?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 3?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 3?46¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 3?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 3?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Busan reaching 30–32°C on September 2 amid lingering warm, humid conditions typical of early autumn. Multiple forecast models, including those from WeatherBug and European sources, indicate a high of 27–28°C on September 3 as northeasterly winds strengthen and introduce slightly cooler maritime air, with cloud cover and light precipitation limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds—favoring 30°C at 47.5%—appears driven by uncertainty in the precise timing of this cooling and the potential for localized urban heat effects or model spread to push the official maximum toward the upper end of the seasonal range near 29–31°C. Updated model runs and official KMA guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.