- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 2?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 2?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 2?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 2?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 2?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 2?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on September 2?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models project daytime highs of 28–31°C in Busan on September 2, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with a 35–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. Afternoon temperatures may briefly reach 30–31°C where breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation, consistent with coastal sea-breeze moderation and early-September climatology near 27°C. These conditions explain the market’s emphasis on 32°C (49.5%) and 33°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting modest upside in select model runs, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ account for the low likelihood of clear, high-insolation scenarios. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and wind will be the next key data point.