- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 31?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 31?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 31?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 31?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 31?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 31?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 31?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 31?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on August 31?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models position daytime highs in Busan around 29–32°C on August 31, with scattered showers and thunderstorms likely to limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Coastal location and high humidity typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions further moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological averages near 29–30°C for the period. Model consensus and observed trends from the preceding days—featuring highs mostly in the 29–31°C range amid unsettled weather—drive the market’s heavy weighting toward 31–33°C outcomes, particularly the 50% implied probability on 32°C. New model runs and official updates expected overnight will provide the next key data points for traders assessing any intensification or suppression of the high.