- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 30?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 30?41¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 30?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 30?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 30?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 30?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on August 30?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a peak temperature in Busan on August 30 most likely near 30–32°C, with persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating along the coast. High humidity and potential for brief clearing or sea-breeze modulation create the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C implied by trader positions, while lower odds on 33°C reflect the low probability of strong insolation under the current monsoonal pattern. Historical late-August maxima in Busan average near 29–30°C, providing context for the modest upside in current guidance. Updated KMA short-range bulletins and morning model runs on August 30 will offer the final inputs before resolution.