- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 26?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 26?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 26?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 26?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 26?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 26?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C or higher on August 26?1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent late-summer heat driven by the North Pacific High continues to support elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, positioning 35 °C as the market favorite for Busan’s August 26 daily maximum. AccuWeather’s latest guidance calls for a 96 °F (35.6 °C) high under mostly sunny skies with high humidity and only a low chance of late-day thunderstorms, while other models and extended outlooks cluster in the low-to-mid 30s °C. These conditions align with climatological norms for peak August heat in Busan, where average highs reach ~30 °C but frequently exceed that during strong subtropical ridge episodes. Low precipitation probabilities and light winds limit evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum sensitive to small forecast shifts. The market’s concentration on 34–36 °C reflects trader assessment of this consensus range, with 35 °C holding the plurality (49.5 %) amid model spread. Resolution will hinge on the official Korea Meteorological Administration station observation; any last-minute adjustment in guidance or unexpected cloud cover could quickly reprice the 34 °C and 36 °C contracts.