This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 12–13°C for Buenos Aires on September 7, supported by northerly winds advecting milder air and partly cloudy skies that moderate daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern. This aligns with early spring climatology in the region, where temperatures typically rise from cooler winter baselines but remain variable due to frontal passages. Current conditions on September 6, with highs near 10°C and southerly flow, are transitioning to northerly winds that support the slight warming implied by the 55% market weighting on 13°C. Updated model runs show low precipitation risk and limited cloud cover, reducing the chance of significant deviations, though minor forecast adjustments could still shift probabilities toward 12°C or 14°C before resolution.