- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 2?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 2?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 2?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 2?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 2?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 2?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 2?2¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-term forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional ensembles project a high near 22°C for Buenos Aires on September 2, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air ahead of an approaching frontal system. This exceeds the early-September climatological average of roughly 17–20°C, reflecting a transient warm anomaly rather than broader seasonal trends. Hourly guidance shows peak temperatures likely between 21–23°C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with low precipitation risk during daylight hours. Market-implied odds, concentrated on 22–24°C, align closely with this model consensus while incorporating uncertainty from potential forecast adjustments in the final 24 hours.