- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 31?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 31?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 31?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on August 31?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on August 31?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on August 31?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 31?43¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate a mild late-winter air mass over Buenos Aires for August 31, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. These conditions position 20 °C (44.5 % implied probability) and 19 °C (29.5 %) as the leading outcomes, reflecting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance near the upper end of the historical August average. Minor model spread, driven by uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage, supports the 21 °C (18 %) tail while keeping lower or higher extremes below 7 % combined. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional maximum used for resolution.