- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 29?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 29?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 29?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 29?40¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on August 29?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on August 29?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on August 29?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a stable post-storm high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires for August 29, with light easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and a projected daytime maximum near 17°C after overnight lows around 8–10°C. This follows the late-August Santa Rosa precipitation event that cleared cooler air and allowed modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, yet traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20–21°C, likely reflecting uncertainty around peak afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or slight model warm biases versus official station criteria at Aeroparque or Ezeiza. Resolution depends on the single highest verified hourly reading, where even small deviations in cloud timing or wind direction could shift outcomes by 1–2°C.