- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 26?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 26?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 26?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 26?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 26?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on August 26?3¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models centers on a daytime high of 17–19°C for Buenos Aires on August 26, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds. Late-winter conditions feature a gradual moderation from the cooler 14°C high recorded on August 25, as a weak warm-air advection precedes an approaching frontal system expected to bring increasing cloud cover and possible evening showers. Model outputs, including hourly profiles showing afternoon peaks near 15–17°C before any cooling, support the market’s heaviest weighting on 18°C (47%) followed by 19°C (26%) and 17°C (17.5%). Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty band around these official guidance values, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require either stronger warming or unexpected cooling. Updated SMN briefings and next model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.