- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on August 24?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 24?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 24?54¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 24?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 24?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or higher on August 24?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international forecasts indicates a stable high-pressure system with easterly flow over Buenos Aires, limiting daytime warming on August 24. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 11–12 °C under partly cloudy skies, with minimal solar heating and no significant warm-air advection. Historical August averages hover around 15–18 °C, but current cooler-than-normal conditions and light winds have kept readings suppressed. Market-implied odds heavily favor 12–13 °C as the most probable peak, reflecting trader assessment of these stable synoptic patterns and limited upside potential from forecast adjustments. No major model shifts or observational changes have emerged in the past 24 hours to alter this outlook.