- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C or below on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on August 23?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on August 23?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 23?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 23?57¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 23?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 23?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or higher on August 23?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires’s August 23 maximum centers on 12–13°C because recent model guidance and observations indicate persistent cool southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. A series of cold fronts has advected polar maritime air across the Pampas, holding surface temperatures several degrees below the August climatological mean of 15–17°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional analyses and international guidance show only modest afternoon recovery, with dew points and wind speeds further suppressing the peak. Recent below-average conditions across southern South America, including unseasonal snow earlier in the winter, reinforce the current pattern and explain why markets assign the highest implied probabilities to the 12°C and 13°C outcomes while discounting warmer thresholds.