- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 22?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or higher on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 22?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 22?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 22?65¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 22?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 22?2¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Short-range forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS models positions a daytime maximum near 12–14 °C for Buenos Aires on August 22 under clear, stable winter conditions typical of the Southern Hemisphere season. Recent runs show limited spread around this range, with surface highs supported by weak ridging and light northerly flow rather than stronger cold advection seen earlier in the month. El Niño development this winter has favored above-average seasonal temperatures across central Argentina, yet day-to-day variability remains driven by transient high-pressure systems. Traders appear to weight the 14 °C outcome most heavily given the upper end of consensus and typical model warm bias on calm days, while lower probabilities for 15 °C or above reflect the narrow uncertainty window before official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations resolve the market.