This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies including the BBC and UK Met Office indicate a daytime high of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 14 under light rain or overcast skies with gentle easterly winds, aligning with the market's strong preference for 14°C. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with a developing El Niño pattern favoring milder-than-average temperatures across central Argentina, support this narrow range rather than the longer-term August mean near 17°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today due to persistent cloud cover and modest onshore flow, while historical analogs for similar setups rarely exceed 15°C. Updated observations and any late-day clearing could shift probabilities modestly toward 15°C before resolution.