- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 9?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 9?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 9?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 9?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 9?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 9?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 9?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on September 9?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 9?51¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 9?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 9?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent northerly winds and light rain on September 8 have introduced cooler, drier air into Beijing, moderating daytime heating and positioning the September 9 high near 25–26°C according to consensus from GFS and regional models. Partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation chance and light winds under 5 mph will allow gradual warming but limit full recovery to the 27.6°C climatological average. Low humidity around 30–40% and surface pressure near 1010–1013 hPa further support stable conditions without strong advection or convection. This setup explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C at 51% implied probability, with 25°C and 27°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in maximum temperature forecasts.