- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 2?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 2?56¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 2?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 2?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 2?5¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models and official sources, including the China Meteorological Administration, indicate mostly sunny conditions over Beijing on September 2 with highs centered near 30–31°C under stable high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, consistent with early-September climatology where the average high reaches about 28.7°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 31°C, followed by 30°C and 32°C, aligns with the narrow ensemble spread across numerical guidance showing minimal risk of extremes. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 1 continue to support this range ahead of final resolution.