- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 30?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 30?48¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 30?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 30?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 30?3¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts for Beijing on August 30 show clear to mostly sunny skies under northwest flow, with light winds and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating after recent rain-cooled conditions. Official and model guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a daytime maximum near 31–33 °C, consistent with late-August climatology of roughly 30 °C when skies remain clear. Trader positioning favors 33 °C and 32 °C as the most likely outcomes because ensemble spreads and hourly temperature profiles cluster in that narrow range, while probabilities drop sharply outside 31–34 °C. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past day, and resolution will hinge on the precise observed peak at official stations.