- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on August 26?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 26?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 26?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 26?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 26?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 26?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 26?2¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from agencies including the World Meteorological Centre Beijing and Met Office indicate thundershowers and increased cloud cover over Beijing on August 26, driving trader consensus toward a highest temperature of 24–26°C. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation while promoting evaporative cooling from precipitation, lowering maxima relative to the typical late-August average near 30°C. Model spreads center on the precise timing and intensity of any frontal passage or monsoon moisture surge, which could shift outcomes by 1–2°C through differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind patterns. Historical climatology shows similar late-month transitions often produce variable daily highs, underscoring the uncertainty captured in the closely matched market-implied probabilities.