- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 24?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 24?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 24?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 24?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 24?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 24?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on August 24?3¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple models point to a high of 33–34 °C in Beijing on August 24, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and a chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could cap the peak. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the tightly bunched 32–34 °C outcomes. Afternoon convection tied to monsoon moisture remains the key variable: earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end of the range, while prolonged sunshine or delayed precipitation could push readings toward 35 °C or above. Historical August averages near 30 °C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-term model consensus currently supports the clustered probabilities. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will clarify the timing of any storms.