Highest temperature in Beijing on August 18?
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 18?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 18?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 18?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 18?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 18?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 18?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 18?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 18?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 18?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Beijing's peak temperature on August 18 will most likely fall in the 30–31°C range, driven by typical late-summer synoptic patterns featuring moderate southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and light humidity that caps daytime insolation and surface heating. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with partial cloudiness and possible brief showers acting as key negative feedbacks on maximum temperatures, while clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Historical climatology places late-August Beijing averages near 30°C, so deviations to 29°C or below would require stronger moisture advection or thicker cloud decks, whereas 33°C+ outcomes hinge on unexpected clearing and reduced evapotranspiration—scenarios assigned low trader-implied probability given the consensus run-to-run stability.