Highest temperature in Beijing on August 16?
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on August 16?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 16?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 16?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 16?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?12¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather places Beijing’s August 16 maximum near 30–31°C, aligning with the market’s near-tied leading outcomes. Lingering moisture and cloud cover from Typhoon Dolphin’s remnants have moderated daytime heating in the past 48 hours, while typical late-summer northeasterly flow and high humidity limit further warming. Afternoon convective development or clearer breaks could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island enhancement. Updated runs from global models will refine these variables ahead of the 48-hour forecast horizon, keeping implied probabilities clustered around the 30–31°C range until new observational data arrives.