Highest temperature in Beijing on August 15?
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 15?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 15?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 15?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 15?44¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 15?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 15?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on August 15?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including AccuWeather, the Met Office, and BBC Weather indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C for Beijing on August 15, supported by model consensus on partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These outcomes align with late-summer climatology, where daily highs typically decline from early-month peaks and average near 30–31°C. Trader positioning around 32°C (43.5% implied probability) reflects the latest model runs showing modest warming potential before any convective activity develops, while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher account for uncertainty in storm timing and intensity that could limit peak readings. Updated guidance in the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range without significant shifts.