Highest temperature in Beijing on August 14?
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 14?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 14?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 14?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?38¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 14?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 14?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 14?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a daily high near 31–32°C in Beijing on August 14, aligning closely with mid-August climatology under the East Asian monsoon and westward subtropical high. These conditions typically deliver peak solar heating with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing of any showers. Trader consensus at 38.5% for 32°C and 33.5% for 31°C reflects model agreement on this narrow range while accounting for residual uncertainty in afternoon convection and boundary-layer mixing. Final resolution will hinge on the verified 24-hour maximum recorded at Beijing’s official stations.