- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 8?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 8?55¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 8?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on September 8?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108°F or higher on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 89°F or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 8?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 8?6¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers show a consensus high near 98–100°F for Austin on September 8 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's 53.5% implied probability on 100–101°F and 32.5% on 98–99°F. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover are enabling strong daytime heating above the 92.9°F climatological average, while elevated dew points raise heat indices toward 107°F. Recent days with similar conditions produced highs of 96–101°F, and no significant frontal passage or moisture surge is expected before the observation window closes. Updated model runs on September 7 could refine the exact peak, particularly if afternoon mixing or subtle wind shifts alter the outcome.