- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 28?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 28?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 28?48¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 28?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 28?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 110°F or higher on August 28?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 28 project a high near 100–102°F under sunny skies, with only slight chances of showers and easterly winds around 5 mph. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer conditions support this range, producing heat indices near 110°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day shifts, aligning trader sentiment with the 47% implied probability on 100–101°F. Lower odds on 98–99°F or 102–103°F reflect uncertainty margins in afternoon maxima and potential localized variations, while sub-98°F outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected cooling.