- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 112-113°F on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 27?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 110-111°F on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 114°F or higher on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 95°F or below on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 27?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 27?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 27?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 27?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 27?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on August 27?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 102°F in Austin on August 27 under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds shifting northerly, supporting the market's leading 46% implied probability for 102-103°F. Strong late-summer solar insolation beneath a high-pressure ridge, combined with low precipitable water and minimal cloud cover early in the day, promotes rapid surface heating, while a modest afternoon thunderstorm chance offers limited cooling. Heat indices may reach 108-109°F. Recent model consensus and a heat advisory align with trader positioning around 102-105°F, though any earlier or stronger convection could cap readings closer to 100°F.