- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 24?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 24?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 24?51¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 24?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on August 24?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 110-111°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 112-113°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 114°F or higher on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 95°F or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 24?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts and ongoing Central Texas heat wave conditions under persistent subtropical ridging position 104–105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, with clear skies and light southerly flow favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud interference. Recent daily maxima of 103–107°F align with this setup, while climatological August averages in the mid-to-upper 90s and historical records above 110°F underscore the elevated but not unprecedented nature of current readings. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds incorporates these factors alongside typical forecast uncertainty ranges from official model guidance, with upcoming official observations from the National Weather Service station serving as the resolution benchmark.