This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high pressure and a strong upper-level ridge over Texas have sustained clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar heating across central Texas, driving daytime highs into the mid-100s during the current late-August heat wave. National Weather Service and private forecasts for August 23 center on 103–105°F at Austin-area stations, with heat indices near 107–108°F and negligible rain chances, consistent with recent observations of 103–105°F peaks. Model consensus and historical analogs under similar ridging support a narrow range around 104–107°F, though minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two before resolution.