- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 95°F or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 22?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 22?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 22?67¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 22?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on August 22?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 110-111°F on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 112-113°F on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 114°F or higher on August 22?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from NWS and multiple models shows Austin reaching a high near 104°F on August 22 under a persistent upper-level ridge and heat dome suppressing cloud cover and precipitation across the southern Plains. Southerly flow and strong daytime heating support this outcome, with heat indices near 109°F and only isolated storm chances. This aligns with the ongoing August heat wave featuring repeated triple-digit readings well above the 96.4°F climatological average high for the date, though slightly below the 107°F record. Market-implied odds concentrate on the 104-105°F bin as the most probable resolution given stable model guidance and minimal expected variability.