- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 112°F or higher on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 21?60¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 21?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 93°F or below on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 21?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 21?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 110-111°F on August 21?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent heat under a strong upper-level ridge and mostly sunny skies with light winds is positioning the National Weather Service forecast for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport at 102–105°F on August 21, aligning closely with the market’s leading 102–103°F (59.5%) and 104–105°F (30.0%) bins. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variation amid a multi-week stretch of triple-digit highs, while ensemble spread and typical late-August variability introduce modest uncertainty around exact peak readings. Official observations from prior days near 103°F reinforce trader consensus on these central outcomes, with resolution tied to the verified daily maximum at the airport station.