Highest temperature in Austin on August 16?
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 93°F or below on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 16?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 16?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 16?56¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 16?29¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 16?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 110-111°F on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 112°F or higher on August 16?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a high near 101°F in Austin on August 16 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Mid-August climatology for the region features peak seasonal heating with average highs of 94–99°F, though recent model runs show persistent southerly flow and subsidence maintaining temperatures in the low 100s without significant moisture or frontal interference that could cap readings. The 28.5% odds on 102–103°F reflect minor upside potential from localized heating or forecast adjustments, while lower bins remain discounted given the absence of cooler air advection or widespread cloudiness in the latest guidance.